GrowingIO 增长公开课第 3 期 单艺
2020-02-27 197浏览
- 1.How Much Are Your Customers Worth?
- 2.“All Men Are Created Equal”
- 3.Not All Customers Are Created Equal
- 4.RFM
- 5.Customer Lifetime Value • • ! X CLV LTV • • 2000
- 6.CLV • • • • • •
- 7.5% CLV
- 8.
- 9.CLV • • • • • …
- 10.CLV = AOV * APY * MarginAOV:Average Order ValueAPY:Average Purchase per Year
- 11.ARPA:Average Revenue Per Accountc:churn rate
- 12.
- 13.
- 14.Survival/Hazard Functions
- 15.!
- 16.Cox Regression Analysis
- 17.Estimation of Survival Function •Parametric:• • • • MLE with assumed distributions of survival time Non-Parametric:• Kaplan-Meier • Nelson-Aalen Semi-Parametric:• Cox Model • Aalen Model PythonPackage:lifelines, lifetimes
- 18.• V(t) • • •
- 19.CLV ...
- 20.Thank you GrowingIO